Will XRP trimmed mean be above $4.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
YES means Above $4.00
- 24h volume
- 33
- 6,799 lifetime
- Open interest
- 4,618
- +4,280 over 90d
- Spread
- 13¢
- 22 × 55 at the touch
- 24h range
- 10¢ – 15¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 96¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask2,00028¢
- ask10627¢
- ask1225¢
- ask10224¢
- ask10021¢
- ask5020¢
- ask3,00018¢
- ask5517¢
- bid224¢
- bid3,0003¢
- bid3.42¢
- bid921¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 4.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.
- opened
- Jul 22 · 4:46 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
- floor
- 4
- ticker
- KXXRPMAXY-XRP-26DEC31-400
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 71% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 10¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 5h ago | 15¢ | 28 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 4¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 12¢ | 17 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 10¢ | 4.95 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 9¢ | 1.75 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 11¢ | 35 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 11¢ | 64 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 4¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 3¢ | 267 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 4¢ | 18 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 12¢ | 4.05 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 13¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 11¢ | 15 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 13¢ | 10 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.