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XRP Annual mecnet·closes in 3mo

XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $1.7500 - $1.9999

24h volume
0
1,460 lifetime
Open interest
1,354
+1,354 over 90d
Spread
3¢
7,257 × 1 at the touch
24h range
–
25 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 99¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volAug 2Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,08954¢
  • ask8647¢
  • ask2,70746¢
  • ask3945¢
  • ask2,00019¢
  • ask5318¢
  • ask10012¢
  • ask14¢
spread3¢mid 3¢
  • bid7,2571¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between $1.7500-1.9999 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 5:34 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
1.75
cap
1.9999
ticker
KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B17500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 188¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 25 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago12¢28bought yes
9d ago12¢50bought yes
9d ago10¢1bought yes
21d ago4¢85bought yes
21d ago4¢149bought yes
21d ago4¢85bought yes
21d ago4¢85bought yes
21d ago57¢4.66bought yes
22d ago10¢44bought yes
22d ago10¢50bought yes
26d ago2¢0.46bought no
26d ago2¢28bought no
26d ago3¢52bought no
26d ago8¢11bought no
26d ago9¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.