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XRP Annual mecnet·closes in 3mo

XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $2.2500 - $2.4999

24h volume
0
299 lifetime
Open interest
279
−1.29 over 7d
Spread
20¢
100 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 21¢
NO bid / ask
79¢ / 99¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask12390¢
  • ask23488¢
  • ask6686¢
  • ask23170¢
  • ask3665¢
  • ask1047¢
  • ask2,00035¢
  • ask10021¢
spread20¢mid 11¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between $2.2500-2.4999 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 5:34 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
2.25
cap
2.4999
ticker
KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B22500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 188¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago22¢3.72bought no
5d ago13¢0.53bought no
5d ago14¢10bought no
6d ago32¢1.96bought yes
6d ago32¢1bought yes
6d ago22¢1bought no
10d ago33¢14bought yes
14d ago27¢3.41bought yes
15d ago66¢23bought yes
15d ago33¢50bought yes
15d ago33¢50bought yes
17d ago31¢50bought yes
17d ago31¢42bought yes
17d ago9¢0.28bought no
28d ago9¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.