Will Democrats win the House in 2026?
YES means Democratic Party
- 24h volume
- 214.9k
- 12.34M lifetime
- Open interest
- 8.23M
- Spread
- 1¢
- 3.83 × 1,150 at the touch
- 24h range
- 90¢ – 92¢
A YES contract costs 92¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 9¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.
- opened
- Nov 6, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- CONTROLH-2026-D
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.