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2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Elissa Slotkin

24h volume
162
16.3k lifetime
Open interest
5,318
Spread
4¢
1,000 × 128 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
45%+11

A YES contract costs 42¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
55%

costs 62¢

YES bid / ask
38¢ / 42¢
NO bid / ask
58¢ / 62¢
Recent buying34% YES · 66% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3765¢
  • ask54164¢
  • ask22463¢
  • ask15462¢
  • ask48752¢
  • ask4351¢
  • ask1,00043¢
  • ask12842¢
spread4¢mid 40¢
  • bid1,00038¢
  • bid537¢
  • bid6.6436¢
  • bid5035¢
  • bid2630¢
  • bid1029¢
  • bid8522¢
  • bid1021¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Elissa Slotkin announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 1, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-ESLO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 34% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago45¢112bought yes
3h ago44¢27bought yes
3h ago42¢21bought yes
3h ago43¢2bought yes
8d ago34¢2.28bought no
9d ago35¢605bought no
10d ago37¢16bought yes
11d ago36¢42bought no
11d ago37¢1bought no
16d ago37¢2bought no
17d ago42¢2.28bought yes
17d ago45¢8.02bought yes
17d ago44¢1bought yes
17d ago43¢21bought yes
17d ago44¢25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.