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2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Hillary Clinton

24h volume
0
3,543 lifetime
Open interest
1,987
Spread
3¢
17 × 9.7 at the touch
24h range
–
40 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 98¢
Recent buying59% YES · 41% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Hillary Clinton announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-HCLI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 40 trades, 59% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago5¢16bought yes
2d ago5¢250bought yes
7d ago5¢18bought yes
7d ago5¢1bought yes
7d ago5¢23bought yes
7d ago5¢28bought yes
7d ago5¢22bought yes
7d ago5¢17bought yes
7d ago5¢19bought yes
26d ago1¢45bought no
26d ago1¢28bought no
26d ago1¢0.99bought no
26d ago1¢2.26bought no
26d ago1¢2.2bought no
26d ago1¢2.43bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.