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2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means J.B. Pritzker

24h volume
0
11.5k lifetime
Open interest
5,245
+144 over 30d
Spread
1¢
25 × 0.54 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
75%

A YES contract costs 78¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
25%

costs 23¢

YES bid / ask
77¢ / 78¢
NO bid / ask
22¢ / 23¢
Recent buying8% YES · 92% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
65¢70¢75¢80¢85¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask395¢
  • ask3195¢
  • ask6.2391¢
  • ask290¢
  • ask26489¢
  • ask44680¢
  • ask1,01279¢
  • ask0.5478¢
spread1¢mid 78¢
  • bid2577¢
  • bid9.0676¢
  • bid2575¢
  • bid2672¢
  • bid6771¢
  • bid1,00070¢
  • bid19853¢
  • bid50052¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If J.B. Pritzker announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-JPRI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 8% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago76¢9.15bought no
3d ago76¢12bought no
3d ago75¢25bought no
6d ago79¢6.23bought yes
6d ago79¢0.12bought yes
6d ago77¢5.77bought yes
6d ago78¢200bought yes
6d ago77¢3.14bought yes
14d ago77¢1.27bought yes
15d ago77¢5.41bought yes
15d ago77¢1.59bought yes
19d ago79¢12bought yes
19d ago79¢10bought yes
19d ago79¢2.39bought yes
23d ago76¢2.96bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.