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2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Mark Cuban

24h volume
0
15.4k lifetime
Open interest
5,799
+341 over 30d
Spread
5¢
1,000 × 31 at the touch
24h range
–
48 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 16¢
NO bid / ask
84¢ / 89¢
Recent buying43% YES · 57% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1024¢
  • ask8123¢
  • ask6322¢
  • ask1,00020¢
  • ask11019¢
  • ask10318¢
  • ask29517¢
  • ask3116¢
spread5¢mid 14¢
  • bid1,00011¢
  • bid1134¢
  • bid14¢
  • bid513¢
  • bid5513¢
  • bid1,0013¢
  • bid2,0881¢
  • bid10.1k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Mark Cuban announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-MCUB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 48 trades, 43% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago12¢66bought no
17d ago12¢3.38bought no
24d ago16¢1bought yes
28d ago14¢18bought no
28d ago14¢19bought no
28d ago13¢63bought no
29d ago19¢236bought yes
29d ago19¢6.16bought yes
29d ago16¢1bought yes
29d ago18¢0.89bought yes
29d ago18¢5.68bought yes
30d ago16¢1.15bought no
1mo ago16¢1bought no
1mo ago15¢58bought no
1mo ago16¢46bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.