galdor.xyz
Admin
2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Mitch Landrieu

24h volume
0
1,354 lifetime
Open interest
1,261
Spread
3¢
1,000 × 11 at the touch
24h range
–
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
60%

A YES contract costs 61¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
40%

costs 42¢

YES bid / ask
58¢ / 61¢
NO bid / ask
39¢ / 42¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4580¢
  • ask3379¢
  • ask175¢
  • ask2874¢
  • ask1,00067¢
  • ask1466¢
  • ask1662¢
  • ask1161¢
spread3¢mid 60¢
  • bid1,00058¢
  • bid34021¢
  • bid1,37820¢
  • bid1914¢
  • bid4,4503¢
  • bid6,8002¢
  • bid20.4k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Mitch Landrieu announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 20 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-MLAN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago60¢0.08bought yes
6d ago61¢1.45bought yes
6d ago60¢0.14bought yes
8d ago59¢586bought no
9d ago58¢56bought no
10d ago58¢3bought no
11d ago59¢0.16bought yes
14d ago14¢2.3bought no
1mo ago60¢20bought yes
1mo ago61¢26bought yes
1mo ago61¢1.07bought yes
1mo ago62¢8.93bought yes
1mo ago59¢12bought no
2mo ago59¢44bought no
2mo ago60¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.