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2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Mikie Sherrill

24h volume
0
1,274 lifetime
Open interest
1,032
+316 over 90d
Spread
5¢
1 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 79¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
15¢20¢25¢30¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20697¢
  • ask71589¢
  • ask42576¢
  • ask2,04163¢
  • ask5362¢
  • ask45346¢
  • ask6745¢
  • ask1,00026¢
spread5¢mid 24¢
  • bid121¢
  • bid2018¢
  • bid1,00017¢
  • bid1685¢
  • bid485¢
  • bid1175¢
  • bid1,1205¢
  • bid10.1k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Mikie Sherrill announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 27 · 5:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-MSHE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago23¢25bought yes
1d ago24¢28bought yes
1d ago25¢72bought yes
1d ago22¢25bought yes
18d ago20¢85bought yes
18d ago20¢15bought yes
21d ago18¢2bought no
21d ago18¢3bought no
26d ago20¢9.46bought yes
29d ago19¢16bought yes
29d ago19¢7.95bought yes
29d ago20¢5.06bought yes
29d ago18¢32bought yes
29d ago19¢15bought yes
2mo ago18¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.