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2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Pete Buttigieg

24h volume
26
11.3k lifetime
Open interest
5,371
+0 over 24h
Spread
1¢
44 × 8.19 at the touch
24h range
90¢ – 90¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
90%−1

A YES contract costs 91¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
10%

costs 10¢

YES bid / ask
90¢ / 91¢
NO bid / ask
9¢ / 10¢
24h low 90¢24h high 90¢
Recent buying78% YES · 22% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
80¢90¢100¢volSep 20, 12:56 PMSep 20, 10:40 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask197¢
  • ask3497¢
  • ask6092¢
  • ask1192¢
  • ask1,00092¢
  • ask9.5791¢
  • ask591¢
  • ask8.1991¢
spread1¢mid 91¢
  • bid4490¢
  • bid7.6490¢
  • bid2590¢
  • bid2590¢
  • bid8888¢
  • bid12887¢
  • bid13086¢
  • bid16185¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Pete Buttigieg announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-PBUT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 78% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
13h ago90¢1.17bought no
13h ago90¢25bought no
6d ago91¢1.09bought yes
6d ago91¢0.27bought yes
7d ago91¢5.43bought yes
12d ago86¢29bought no
12d ago87¢4.64bought no
12d ago87¢0.36bought no
15d ago91¢11bought yes
18d ago86¢0.17bought no
18d ago86¢1bought no
18d ago87¢12bought yes
18d ago88¢101bought yes
18d ago87¢9.27bought yes
18d ago88¢491bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.