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2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Ro Khanna

24h volume
0
32.0k lifetime
Open interest
11.0k
+5,225 over 30d
Spread
1¢
33 × 77 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
75%

A YES contract costs 77¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
25%

costs 24¢

YES bid / ask
76¢ / 77¢
NO bid / ask
23¢ / 24¢
Recent buying8% YES · 92% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
70¢75¢80¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1895¢
  • ask1090¢
  • ask1085¢
  • ask25784¢
  • ask1,00081¢
  • ask3780¢
  • ask3,99178¢
  • ask7777¢
spread1¢mid 77¢
  • bid3376¢
  • bid4175¢
  • bid1,00072¢
  • bid6069¢
  • bid30068¢
  • bid0.7247¢
  • bid7646¢
  • bid3212¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ro Khanna announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 24, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-RKHA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 8% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago75¢2bought no
6d ago72¢43bought no
6d ago73¢59bought no
6d ago74¢88bought no
6d ago74¢30bought no
6d ago75¢30bought no
6d ago76¢0.12bought yes
7d ago74¢25bought no
7d ago75¢25bought no
7d ago73¢41bought no
7d ago76¢2.58bought yes
9d ago75¢1,000bought no
9d ago77¢200bought no
9d ago77¢991bought no
9d ago76¢25bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.