galdor.xyz
Admin
2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Wes Moore

24h volume
3
63.1k lifetime
Open interest
21.4k
−24 over 7d
Spread
6¢
1.66 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
71¢ – 71¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
71%+2

A YES contract costs 79¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
29%

costs 27¢

YES bid / ask
73¢ / 79¢
NO bid / ask
21¢ / 27¢
24h low 71¢24h high 71¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
65¢70¢75¢80¢85¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1795¢
  • ask1895¢
  • ask2590¢
  • ask3.4687¢
  • ask2585¢
  • ask0.6784¢
  • ask2580¢
  • ask1,00079¢
spread6¢mid 76¢
  • bid1.6673¢
  • bid572¢
  • bid1371¢
  • bid1,00070¢
  • bid4.1469¢
  • bid8.2668¢
  • bid7942¢
  • bid11941¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Wes Moore announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-WMOO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14h ago71¢3bought no
5d ago69¢5bought no
5d ago71¢10bought yes
5d ago71¢6bought yes
6d ago69¢5.22bought no
6d ago68¢138bought no
6d ago69¢4.45bought no
7d ago68¢3.44bought no
7d ago69¢6.56bought no
10d ago68¢0.52bought yes
10d ago68¢3bought yes
10d ago72¢0.04bought no
10d ago71¢2bought no
10d ago70¢1,000bought no
10d ago71¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.