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2028 R running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Donald J. Trump Jr.

24h volume
0
37.2k lifetime
Open interest
17.9k
Spread
4¢
768 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
33%

A YES contract costs 29¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
67%

costs 75¢

YES bid / ask
25¢ / 29¢
NO bid / ask
71¢ / 75¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3261¢
  • ask545¢
  • ask540¢
  • ask1,51536¢
  • ask1435¢
  • ask95034¢
  • ask8133¢
  • ask1,00029¢
spread4¢mid 27¢
  • bid76825¢
  • bid30024¢
  • bid53323¢
  • bid6.0121¢
  • bid1,05620¢
  • bid519¢
  • bid6418¢
  • bid1017¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Donald J. Trump Jr. announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago33¢2.89bought yes
11d ago25¢6.15bought no
12d ago28¢17bought yes
13d ago25¢3bought no
16d ago25¢2bought no
17d ago28¢0.85bought yes
17d ago25¢1.31bought no
20d ago25¢5bought no
23d ago25¢112bought yes
23d ago25¢100bought yes
23d ago25¢7.23bought yes
29d ago25¢9.56bought yes
29d ago24¢95bought no
1mo ago24¢3.88bought no
1mo ago24¢9.05bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.