2028 R running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Donald J. Trump Jr.

24h volume
0
37.2k lifetime
Open interest
17.9k
Spread
768 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
Chance of YES
33%

A YES contract costs 29¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
67%

costs 75¢

YES bid / ask
25¢ / 29¢
NO bid / ask
71¢ / 75¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3261¢
  • ask545¢
  • ask540¢
  • ask1,51536¢
  • ask1435¢
  • ask95034¢
  • ask8133¢
  • ask1,00029¢
spreadmid 27¢
  • bid76825¢
  • bid30024¢
  • bid53323¢
  • bid6.0121¢
  • bid1,05620¢
  • bid519¢
  • bid6418¢
  • bid1017¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Donald J. Trump Jr. announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.