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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 1mo

Will Drake release new album after issuance and before Nov 1, 2026

YES means Before Nov 1, 2026

24h volume
10
4,991 lifetime
Open interest
1,255
Spread
25¢
5 × 61 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
46%−15

A YES contract costs 45¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
54%

costs 80¢

YES bid / ask
20¢ / 45¢
NO bid / ask
55¢ / 80¢
Recent buying42% YES · 58% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,10488¢
  • ask20775¢
  • ask71374¢
  • ask28173¢
  • ask1471¢
  • ask669¢
  • ask5065¢
  • ask6145¢
spread25¢mid 32¢
  • bid520¢
  • bid517¢
  • bid38¢
  • bid4.747¢
  • bid156¢
  • bid215¢
  • bid2043¢
  • bid2922¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Drake releases a new album after issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 21 · 11:52 PM UTC
closes
Nov 1 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDRA-26NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 42% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14h ago46¢10bought yes
1d ago61¢49bought yes
1d ago39¢0.38bought yes
1d ago39¢0.38bought yes
2d ago36¢1bought yes
2d ago36¢4.31bought yes
2d ago36¢2bought yes
2d ago37¢0.62bought yes
3d ago33¢6.34bought no
3d ago32¢12bought no
3d ago37¢2.27bought yes
3d ago36¢11bought yes
3d ago36¢9bought yes
3d ago38¢4.06bought yes
4d ago34¢12bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.