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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 12d

Will Drake release new album after issuance and before Oct 3, 2026

YES means Before Oct 3, 2026

24h volume
0
2,704 lifetime
Open interest
1,171
Spread
37¢
5 × 6.36 at the touch
24h range
–
43 recent trades
Chance of YES
22%

A YES contract costs 45¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
78%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 45¢
NO bid / ask
55¢ / 92¢
Recent buying41% YES · 59% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask87587¢
  • ask84284¢
  • ask3282¢
  • ask5581¢
  • ask669¢
  • ask4252¢
  • ask546¢
  • ask6.3645¢
spread37¢mid 26¢
  • bid58¢
  • bid57¢
  • bid7.925¢
  • bid2004¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Drake releases a new album after issuance and before Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 3 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Oct 3 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDRA-26OCT03
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 43 trades, 41% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago22¢1bought yes
1d ago25¢5bought yes
1d ago22¢1bought yes
1d ago22¢1bought yes
1d ago24¢2.45bought yes
1d ago60¢17bought yes
1d ago59¢15bought yes
4d ago21¢1bought no
4d ago22¢200bought no
5d ago2¢54bought no
5d ago7¢30bought no
5d ago8¢16bought no
5d ago19¢73bought yes
5d ago19¢15bought no
5d ago20¢2.45bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.