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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 26d

Will Drake release new album after issuance and before Oct 17, 2026

YES means Before Oct 17, 2026

24h volume
0
1,846 lifetime
Open interest
756
+351 over 7d
Spread
33¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
21%

A YES contract costs 43¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
79%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 43¢
NO bid / ask
57¢ / 90¢
Recent buying29% YES · 71% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask18582¢
  • ask2779¢
  • ask5472¢
  • ask671¢
  • ask11770¢
  • ask169¢
  • ask168¢
  • ask543¢
spread33¢mid 27¢
  • bid510¢
  • bid59¢
  • bid2002¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Drake releases a new album after issuance and before Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 3 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Oct 17 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDRA-26OCT17
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 29% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago21¢1bought yes
1d ago20¢4bought yes
1d ago21¢5bought no
1d ago22¢4bought no
1d ago22¢5bought yes
1d ago22¢5bought yes
3d ago30¢1bought no
3d ago32¢1bought no
3d ago31¢58bought no
3d ago25¢1bought no
3d ago32¢1bought no
3d ago32¢5bought no
3d ago32¢4bought no
3d ago32¢1bought yes
3d ago31¢9bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.