When will artist release a new album?·closes in 5d

Will Drake release new album after issuance and before Sep 26, 2026

YES means Before Sep 26, 2026

24h volume
315
4,273 lifetime
Open interest
1,588
+1,386 over 90d
Spread
107 × 15 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 8¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%18

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 97¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 4Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50649¢
  • ask0.2547¢
  • ask0.2537¢
  • ask30520¢
  • ask1419¢
  • ask514¢
  • ask3810¢
  • ask15
spreadmid
  • bid107
  • bid20
  • bid207
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Drake releases a new album after issuance and before Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 3 · 9:20 PM UTC
closes
Sep 26 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDRA-26SEP26
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12h ago38bought no
12h ago1bought no
12h ago124bought no
12h ago147bought no
12h ago5bought no
1d ago20¢3bought yes
2d ago11¢12bought no
2d ago12¢67bought no
2d ago13¢11bought no
2d ago14¢14bought no
2d ago13¢30bought no
2d ago14¢15bought no
3d ago15¢0.84bought no
3d ago14¢7.16bought no
3d ago15¢66bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.