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Next Bond actor·closes in 40mo

Will Regé-Jean Page be the next James Bond?

YES means Regé-Jean Page

24h volume
0
23.6k lifetime
Open interest
9,103
+0 over 7d
Spread
1¢
1,837 × 70 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 17

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask613¢
  • ask610¢
  • ask1,4759¢
  • ask1118¢
  • ask57¢
  • ask5504¢
  • ask6.673¢
  • ask702¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid1,8371¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Regé-Jean Page is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 26, 2025 · 5:13 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBOND-30-REG
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago2¢43bought no
8d ago3¢93bought yes
8d ago2¢20bought yes
8d ago2¢25bought yes
10d ago2¢5bought yes
11d ago2¢25bought yes
11d ago2¢25bought yes
11d ago4¢450bought yes
11d ago1¢500bought no
17d ago2¢4.5bought yes
21d ago2¢5.19bought yes
21d ago3¢495bought no
21d ago3¢1,000bought no
21d ago3¢200bought no
23d ago3¢5.14bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.