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Next Bond actor·closes in 40mo

Will Robert Pattinson be the next James Bond?

YES means Robert Pattinson

24h volume
0
6,881 lifetime
Open interest
3,295
+67 over 7d
Spread
2¢
0 × 45 at the touch
24h range
–
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
Recent buying89% YES · 11% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask21061¢
  • ask2,23360¢
  • ask1,06723¢
  • ask4686¢
  • ask9653¢
  • ask452¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Robert Pattinson is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

    This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Aug 24 · 6:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXBOND-30-ROB
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 21 trades, 89% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2d ago3¢54bought yes
    2d ago2¢13bought yes
    4d ago2¢441bought yes
    4d ago1¢19bought yes
    4d ago1¢25bought yes
    9d ago1¢25bought yes
    9d ago1¢1,754bought yes
    9d ago1¢66bought yes
    9d ago1¢5.04bought yes
    11d ago1¢247bought no
    11d ago2¢500bought yes
    11d ago1¢454bought no
    11d ago1¢47bought no
    15d ago2¢47bought yes
    20d ago2¢47bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.