galdor.xyz
Admin
will Bitcoin hit price target by date·closed · NO

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Aug 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

YES means By Aug 28, 2026

24h volume
0
1,572 lifetime
Open interest
1,510
+1,510 over 90d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying4% YES · 96% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 26Sep 6

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Aug 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 24 · 10:45 PM UTC
closes
Aug 29 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 15, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC
floor
85000
ticker
KXBTCPRICE-85000-26AUG28
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 4% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23d ago1¢450bought no
23d ago1¢300bought no
23d ago1¢100bought no
23d ago1¢100bought no
23d ago1¢50bought no
23d ago2¢1.08bought yes
23d ago2¢250bought no
23d ago2¢200bought no
24d ago25¢3.07bought yes
24d ago2¢1bought no
24d ago2¢5bought no
24d ago49¢6bought yes
24d ago49¢9.85bought yes
24d ago2¢15bought no
25d ago49¢1.97bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.