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will Bitcoin hit price target by date·closes in 2mo

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Nov 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

YES means By Nov 13, 2026

24h volume
214
7,225 lifetime
Open interest
2,004
Spread
5¢
63 × 75 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
72%+3

A YES contract costs 77¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
28%

costs 28¢

YES bid / ask
72¢ / 77¢
NO bid / ask
23¢ / 28¢
Recent buying39% YES · 61% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask28593¢
  • ask5792¢
  • ask1.2691¢
  • ask6.9987¢
  • ask3284¢
  • ask1.6780¢
  • ask3,09878¢
  • ask7577¢
spread5¢mid 75¢
  • bid6372¢
  • bid3,00071¢
  • bid7667¢
  • bid10051¢
  • bid8939¢
  • bid1.7525¢
  • bid0.8122¢
  • bid492¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Nov 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 24 · 10:45 PM UTC
closes
Nov 14 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 15, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC
floor
85000
ticker
KXBTCPRICE-85000-26NOV13
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 39% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago72¢12bought no
2m ago72¢39bought no
2h ago77¢9.06bought yes
2h ago77¢1.31bought yes
2h ago78¢2.37bought yes
2h ago77¢0.31bought yes
2h ago74¢1.31bought no
7h ago75¢0.97bought yes
7h ago75¢1.65bought yes
7h ago75¢25bought yes
7h ago75¢12bought yes
9h ago76¢0.12bought yes
11h ago70¢2.7bought no
14h ago68¢0.71bought no
15h ago68¢1.7bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.