BTC price range EOY·closes in 3mo

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 25,000 to 29,999.99

24h volume
641
623.7k lifetime
Open interest
347.0k
+20.5k over 7d
Spread
8.26 × 304 at the touch
24h range
0¢ – 1¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying47% YES · 53% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,003
  • ask5,091
  • ask91
  • ask2,634
  • ask1,746
  • ask252
  • ask244
  • ask304
spreadmid
  • bid8.26
  • bid1,866
  • bid5,280
  • bid88.3k
  • bid114.1k
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 25000.00-29999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
25000
cap
29999.99
ticker
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B27500
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 47% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18m ago2bought yes
18m ago2bought yes
18m ago3bought yes
20m ago2bought yes
25m ago5bought yes
58m ago3bought yes
1h ago1bought yes
2h ago1bought yes
8h ago81bought yes
8h ago7.74bought yes
8h ago78bought yes
9h ago8.26bought yes
9h ago78bought yes
9h ago164bought yes
12h ago3bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.