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BTC price range EOY·closes in 3mo

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 45,000 to 49,999.99

24h volume
1,931
2.40M lifetime
Open interest
402.6k
Spread
0¢
19 × 235 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%−0

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 99¢
Recent buying77% YES · 23% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask792¢
  • ask1062¢
  • ask1012¢
  • ask2492¢
  • ask6242¢
  • ask7012¢
  • ask6792¢
  • ask2352¢
spread0¢mid 1¢
  • bid191¢
  • bid2531¢
  • bid791¢
  • bid721¢
  • bid2,0001¢
  • bid1471¢
  • bid6951¢
  • bid951¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 45000.00-49999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
45000
cap
49999.99
ticker
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B47500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 99¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 77% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18m ago2¢2bought yes
18m ago2¢0.85bought yes
18m ago2¢0.32bought yes
18m ago2¢0.83bought yes
18m ago2¢3bought yes
20m ago2¢2bought yes
25m ago1¢5bought yes
58m ago2¢3bought yes
1h ago1¢0.6bought no
1h ago1¢0.85bought no
1h ago1¢8.52bought no
1h ago1¢0.25bought no
1h ago1¢0.25bought no
1h ago1¢14bought no
1h ago1¢1.5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.