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BTC price range EOY·closes in 3mo

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 80,000 to 84,999.99

24h volume
12.3k
2.31M lifetime
Open interest
286.3k
+9,460 over 7d
Spread
0¢
12 × 3.63 at the touch
24h range
12¢ – 14¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%−1

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 87¢
24h low 12¢24h high 14¢
Recent buying74% YES · 26% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4915¢
  • ask10514¢
  • ask6514¢
  • ask8914¢
  • ask33714¢
  • ask26713¢
  • ask43413¢
  • ask3.6313¢
spread0¢mid 13¢
  • bid25913¢
  • bid6513¢
  • bid4013¢
  • bid27913¢
  • bid29913¢
  • bid34413¢
  • bid55313¢
  • bid75512¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 80000.00-84999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
80000
cap
84999.99
ticker
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B82500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 74% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16m ago13¢2.18bought no
16m ago13¢1.75bought yes
16m ago13¢0.5bought yes
16m ago13¢2.25bought no
17m ago13¢2.29bought yes
17m ago13¢2.29bought no
17m ago13¢1.07bought yes
17m ago13¢1.22bought yes
17m ago13¢2.29bought no
18m ago13¢0.42bought yes
18m ago13¢0.03bought yes
18m ago13¢1.84bought yes
19m ago13¢2.29bought no
20m ago13¢1.06bought yes
20m ago13¢0.28bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.