galdor.xyz
Admin
BTC price range EOY·closes in 3mo

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 19,999.99 or below

24h volume
175
684.4k lifetime
Open interest
359.8k
+7,961 over 7d
Spread
0¢
25 × 8.72 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%−0

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 99¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying29% YES · 71% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask162¢
  • ask5502¢
  • ask1422¢
  • ask1,0881¢
  • ask2581¢
  • ask3751¢
  • ask5181¢
  • ask8.721¢
spread0¢mid 1¢
  • bid251¢
  • bid11¢
  • bid10.1k0¢
  • bid103.1k0¢
  • bid162.0k0¢
  • bid121.0k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is below 20000.00 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
cap
20000
ticker
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-T20000.00
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 97¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 29% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
30m ago1¢1bought yes
7h ago1¢125bought yes
8h ago1¢10bought yes
10h ago1¢3bought no
11h ago1¢5.02bought no
11h ago1¢2.88bought no
11h ago1¢7bought no
12h ago1¢2.83bought no
13h ago1¢4bought no
13h ago1¢6.4bought no
13h ago1¢7.79bought no
1d ago1¢1bought yes
1d ago1¢23bought yes
1d ago1¢12bought yes
1d ago1¢32bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.