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ETH price EOY ·closes in 2mo

ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 4,500 to 4,749.99

24h volume
6
54.4k lifetime
Open interest
24.7k
+0 over 24h
Spread
0¢
506 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
0¢ – 0¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%+0

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
24h low 0¢24h high 0¢
Recent buying41% YES · 59% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volNov 4, 4:02 AMNov 5, 3:50 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6.081¢
  • ask1791¢
  • ask4121¢
  • ask1521¢
  • ask8001¢
  • ask521¢
  • ask2,0401¢
  • ask1,0000¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid5060¢
  • bid280¢
  • bid6300¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between 4500.00-4749.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:05 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
4500
cap
4749.99
ticker
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B4625
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 97¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 41% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12h ago0¢3bought yes
12h ago0¢2.99bought yes
12h ago0¢0.01bought yes
5d ago0¢412bought no
5d ago0¢1,040bought no
5d ago0¢500bought no
5d ago0¢14bought no
5d ago0¢1,000bought no
5d ago0¢202bought no
6d ago1¢3bought yes
8d ago1¢18bought yes
9d ago1¢22bought no
9d ago1¢22bought no
9d ago1¢11bought no
9d ago1¢11bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.