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ETH price EOY ·closes in 3mo

ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 4,500 to 4,749.99

24h volume
0
45.7k lifetime
Open interest
23.7k
Spread
0¢
193 × 1,350 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 99¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5002¢
  • ask132¢
  • ask942¢
  • ask1,0002¢
  • ask2332¢
  • ask881¢
  • ask1.791¢
  • ask1,3501¢
spread0¢mid 1¢
  • bid1931¢
  • bid1781¢
  • bid171¢
  • bid1,0400¢
  • bid450¢
  • bid8,8010¢
  • bid1,1030¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between 4500.00-4749.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:05 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
4500
cap
4749.99
ticker
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B4625
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago1¢30bought no
4d ago1¢8.75bought no
4d ago1¢9.42bought no
4d ago1¢154bought no
4d ago1¢11bought no
4d ago1¢8.69bought no
4d ago1¢258bought no
4d ago1¢1,304bought no
4d ago1¢6.95bought no
4d ago1¢12bought no
4d ago1¢15bought no
4d ago1¢1,300bought no
4d ago1¢12bought no
4d ago1¢40bought no
4d ago1¢2.49bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.