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Opensea FDV ·closes in 2mo

Will Opensea FDV be above $14999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $15,000,000,000+

24h volume
0
10.9k lifetime
Open interest
3,014
+2,215 over 90d
Spread
4¢
846 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 99¢
Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volAug 8Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,19743¢
  • ask130¢
  • ask18823¢
  • ask6821¢
  • ask5015¢
  • ask9410¢
  • ask1767¢
  • ask5005¢
spread4¢mid 3¢
  • bid8461¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Opensea's fully diluted valuation (FDV) as displayed on CoinGecko is above 14999999999.99 at exactly 10:00 AM on 1 day after launch, then the market resolves to Yes.

The FDV must be the value shown in the "FDV" field on the coin's main CoinGecko page, not calculated from other metrics. If no data is available at the specified time, the last FDV value shown before that time on the date will be used. If the coin is delisted from CoinGecko before the measurement date, the last recorded FDV will be used and the market will resolve immediately. Token migrations to new smart contract addresses are tracked continuously. If CoinGecko changes its FDV calculation methodology, the value displayed at the measurement time under the FDV label will be used regardless. Post-redenomination FDV values (after splits/reverse splits) will be used. All values are in USD as shown on CoinGecko. Values can be expressed in millions (M), billions (B), or trillions (T) format.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 18, 2025 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
14999999999.99
ticker
KXFDVOPENSEA-27JAN01-14999999999
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago5¢1.87bought yes
1d ago4¢5.85bought yes
1d ago1¢156bought no
5d ago5¢9.37bought yes
7d ago4¢23bought yes
11d ago2¢2bought no
11d ago1¢386bought no
11d ago2¢0.9bought no
16d ago8¢0.4bought yes
16d ago6¢156bought yes
17d ago2¢5bought no
21d ago7¢19bought yes
22d ago7¢67bought yes
25d ago5¢25bought no
25d ago6¢91bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.