Opensea FDV ·closes in 2mo

Will Opensea FDV be above $9999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $10,000,000,000+

24h volume
0
3,671 lifetime
Open interest
1,245
+526 over 90d
Spread
5¢
501 × 48 at the touch
24h range
–
37 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 98¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢volAug 8Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10099¢
  • ask197¢
  • ask5,00094¢
  • ask1.1764¢
  • ask5009¢
  • ask5008¢
  • ask487¢
spread5¢mid 4¢
  • bid5012¢
  • bid1,0631¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Opensea's fully diluted valuation (FDV) as displayed on CoinGecko is above 9999999999.99 at exactly 10:00 AM on 1 day after launch, then the market resolves to Yes.

The FDV must be the value shown in the "FDV" field on the coin's main CoinGecko page, not calculated from other metrics. If no data is available at the specified time, the last FDV value shown before that time on the date will be used. If the coin is delisted from CoinGecko before the measurement date, the last recorded FDV will be used and the market will resolve immediately. Token migrations to new smart contract addresses are tracked continuously. If CoinGecko changes its FDV calculation methodology, the value displayed at the measurement time under the FDV label will be used regardless. Post-redenomination FDV values (after splits/reverse splits) will be used. All values are in USD as shown on CoinGecko. Values can be expressed in millions (M), billions (B), or trillions (T) format.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 18, 2025 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
9999999999.99
ticker
KXFDVOPENSEA-27JAN01-9999999999
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 37 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago8¢1.17bought yes
2d ago9¢10bought yes
3d ago8¢12bought yes
5d ago2¢23bought no
5d ago2¢5bought no
7d ago5¢28bought yes
13d ago5¢250bought no
13d ago5¢10bought no
13d ago5¢4bought no
13d ago5¢2bought no
13d ago11¢30bought yes
15d ago9¢0.36bought yes
21d ago2¢5.09bought no
23d ago2¢15bought no
25d ago6¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.