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Fed governor nominee·closes in 3mo

Will Trump next nominate Scott Bessent as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?

YES means Scott Bessent

24h volume
0
1,276 lifetime
Open interest
704
+0 over 90d
Spread
6¢
99 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 99¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volJun 23Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20081¢
  • ask4980¢
  • ask36057¢
  • ask1,79056¢
  • ask56945¢
  • ask4388¢
  • ask1,1598¢
  • ask5007¢
spread6¢mid 4¢
  • bid991¢
  • bid2000¢
  • bid2,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Scott Bessent is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.

The nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 5 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFEDGOVNOM-27-SBES
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.