INXDIRY·closes in 16mo

Will the S&P 500 be above 7200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

YES means 7,200 or above

24h volume
0
224 lifetime
Open interest
224
Spread
20¢
100 × 100 at the touch
24h range
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
85%

A YES contract costs 93¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
15%

costs 27¢

YES bid / ask
73¢ / 93¢
NO bid / ask
/ 27¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above 7200, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 17 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
7200.0001
ticker
KXINXDIRY-27DEC31H1600-T7200
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11d ago85¢23bought yes
16d ago82¢100bought yes
16d ago80¢100bought yes
17d ago76¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.