INXDIRY·closes in 16mo

Will the S&P 500 be above 9000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

YES means 9,000 or above

24h volume
0
2,150 lifetime
Open interest
1,040
+0 over 24h
Spread
330 × 61 at the touch
24h range
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
30%

A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
70%

costs 70¢

YES bid / ask
30¢ / 39¢
NO bid / ask
61¢ / 70¢
Recent buying42% YES · 58% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢30¢35¢40¢45¢volSep 21, 8:01 AMSep 21, 9:09 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10.0k99¢
  • ask33397¢
  • ask1696¢
  • ask4295¢
  • ask2194¢
  • ask7540¢
  • ask6139¢
spreadmid 35¢
  • bid33030¢
  • bid3.2423¢
  • bid10022¢
  • bid78
  • bid10.0k
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above 9000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 17 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
9000.0001
ticker
KXINXDIRY-27DEC31H1600-T9000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 42% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
28d ago30¢200bought yes
28d ago30¢500bought yes
28d ago30¢210bought yes
1mo ago25¢1.41bought no
1mo ago25¢9.15bought no
1mo ago25¢4.18bought no
1mo ago25¢25bought no
1mo ago30¢200bought no
1mo ago30¢1,000bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.