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INXDIRY·closes in 16mo

Will the S&P 500 be above 9800 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

YES means 9,800 or above

24h volume
0
5.22 lifetime
Open interest
5.22
Spread
16¢
400 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
18%

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 18¢
NO bid / ask
82¢ / 98¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10.0k99¢
  • ask33397¢
  • ask10018¢
spread16¢mid 10¢
  • bid4002¢
  • bid10.0k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above 9800, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 17 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
9800.0001
ticker
KXINXDIRY-27DEC31H1600-T9800
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.