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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 24mo

Will Jackson Flora play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2028?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2028

24h volume
0
1,832 lifetime
Open interest
1,585
Spread
7¢
100 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
25 recent trades
Chance of YES
49%

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
51%

costs 58¢

YES bid / ask
42¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 58¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask197¢
  • ask10095¢
  • ask4694¢
  • ask9076¢
  • ask32175¢
  • ask5474¢
  • ask159¢
  • ask20049¢
spread7¢mid 45¢
  • bid10042¢
  • bid3841¢
  • bid20040¢
  • bid132¢
  • bid9031¢
  • bid2821¢
  • bid45420¢
  • bid1,14610¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jackson Flora plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 1, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-JFLORA-28NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 25 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago49¢20bought yes
2d ago49¢9.85bought yes
2d ago49¢9.85bought yes
2d ago48¢10bought yes
2d ago48¢10bought yes
2d ago48¢10bought yes
2d ago48¢10bought yes
8d ago48¢2.01bought yes
10d ago48¢2.01bought yes
10d ago48¢2.01bought yes
10d ago48¢1bought yes
1mo ago44¢200bought yes
1mo ago59¢14bought yes
1mo ago48¢90bought yes
1mo ago33¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.