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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 26mo

Will Jackson Flora play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2028?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2028

24h volume
0
1,206 lifetime
Open interest
959
+959 over 90d
Spread
83¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
28%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
72%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 89¢
Recent buying89% YES · 11% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volJul 12Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10095¢
  • ask594¢
spread83¢mid 53¢
  • bid511¢
  • bid510¢
  • bid116¢
  • bid1005¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jackson Flora plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 1, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-JFLORA-28NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 89% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago28¢170bought yes
7d ago27¢176bought yes
7d ago26¢183bought yes
7d ago24¢198bought yes
7d ago15¢2bought yes
7d ago21¢1bought yes
7d ago15¢2bought yes
7d ago20¢200bought yes
7d ago84¢8.11bought yes
2mo ago14¢25bought no
2mo ago14¢5bought no
2mo ago14¢17bought no
2mo ago14¢5bought no
2mo ago14¢35bought no
2mo ago14¢25bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.