Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 38mo

Will Jackson Flora play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2029?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2029

24h volume
0
298 lifetime
Open interest
37
−1 over 30d
Spread
88¢
5 × 100 at the touch
24h range
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
59%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
41%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
/ 95¢
NO bid / ask
/ 93¢
Recent buying2% YES · 98% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10095¢
spread88¢mid 51¢
  • bid5
  • bid35
  • bid100
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jackson Flora plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 1, 2029 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-JFLORA-29NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 2% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
26d ago59¢1bought no
1mo ago62¢1bought yes
2mo ago61¢16bought no
2mo ago61¢5bought no
2mo ago61¢25bought no
2mo ago61¢4bought no
2mo ago61¢3.99bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.