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MLS Cup champion·closes in 2mo

Will Nashville win the MLS Cup?

YES means Nashville

24h volume
11.8k
284.0k lifetime
Open interest
127.3k
+78.7k over 90d
Spread
1¢
87 × 287 at the touch
24h range
20¢ – 22¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
22%+2

A YES contract costs 23¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
78%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 23¢
NO bid / ask
77¢ / 78¢
24h low 20¢24h high 22¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢volAug 7Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2037¢
  • ask3235¢
  • ask131¢
  • ask27730¢
  • ask23426¢
  • ask30925¢
  • ask66524¢
  • ask28723¢
spread1¢mid 22¢
  • bid8722¢
  • bid22.3k21¢
  • bid17.2k20¢
  • bid1,15919¢
  • bid26311¢
  • bid110¢
  • bid3638¢
  • bid6,9517¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Nashville is the 2026 Major League Soccer (MLS) Cup Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 6 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 25 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLSCUP-26-NSH
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 121¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
21m ago22¢22bought yes
21m ago22¢0.6bought yes
21m ago22¢173bought yes
21m ago22¢250bought yes
21m ago22¢1bought yes
21m ago22¢7bought yes
21m ago21¢33bought yes
21m ago21¢200bought yes
21m ago21¢14bought yes
21m ago21¢8bought yes
21m ago21¢9,414bought yes
21m ago21¢272bought yes
21m ago21¢267bought yes
21m ago21¢140bought yes
1h ago21¢114bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.