galdor.xyz
Admin
MLS Cup champion·closes in 2mo

Will Saint Louis win the MLS Cup?

YES means Saint Louis

24h volume
1,686
131.5k lifetime
Open interest
105.3k
−742 over 7d
Spread
1¢
20 × 1,428 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 7¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%+1

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 94¢
24h low 6¢24h high 7¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask117¢
  • ask10016¢
  • ask10015¢
  • ask61613¢
  • ask29312¢
  • ask509¢
  • ask3208¢
  • ask1,4287¢
spread1¢mid 6¢
  • bid206¢
  • bid1,3655¢
  • bid1,4404¢
  • bid9,0933¢
  • bid1,0642¢
  • bid1,5531¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Saint Louis is the 2026 Major League Soccer (MLS) Cup Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 6 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 25 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLSCUP-26-STL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 121¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22h ago7¢954bought yes
22h ago6¢0.4bought yes
22h ago6¢8bought yes
22h ago6¢228bought yes
22h ago6¢2.42bought yes
22h ago6¢0.38bought yes
22h ago7¢250bought yes
22h ago6¢1bought yes
22h ago6¢1.16bought yes
22h ago6¢0.84bought yes
22h ago6¢14bought yes
22h ago6¢2.93bought yes
22h ago7¢3.59bought yes
22h ago6¢3.04bought yes
22h ago6¢0.45bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.