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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Indiana wins by over 7.5 points

24h volume
2,086
2,286 lifetime
Open interest
2,193
+1,715 over 7d
Spread
8¢
86 × 2 at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 30¢
35 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 18¢
NO bid / ask
82¢ / 90¢
24h low 8¢24h high 30¢
Recent buying16% YES · 84% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢volNov 4, 12:00 PMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4,00033¢
  • ask532¢
  • ask25031¢
  • ask3,68029¢
  • ask2,00027¢
  • ask13526¢
  • ask2522¢
  • ask518¢
spread12¢mid 12¢
  • bid896¢
  • bid535¢
  • bid1,0254¢
  • bid2,0563¢
  • bid1382¢
  • bid2651¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Indiana wins by more than 7.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
7.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-IND8
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 35 trades, 16% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5m ago10¢100bought no
5m ago11¢100bought no
12m ago15¢3bought yes
14m ago9¢1bought no
28m ago14¢100bought no
28m ago13¢100bought no
33m ago20¢3.18bought yes
33m ago20¢70bought yes
54m ago10¢1bought no
56m ago8¢1bought no
58m ago9¢1.65bought yes
58m ago8¢1bought no
1h ago12¢1bought no
1h ago14¢3.25bought yes
1h ago11¢50bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.