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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Memphis wins by over 6.5 points

24h volume
107.0k
111.7k lifetime
Open interest
89.6k
Spread
1¢
596 × 175 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
27%−22

A YES contract costs 28¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
73%

costs 73¢

YES bid / ask
27¢ / 28¢
NO bid / ask
72¢ / 73¢
Recent buying9% YES · 91% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Memphis wins by more than 6.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
6.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-MEM7
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 9% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2s ago28¢3.97bought yes
5s ago27¢0.67bought no
11s ago27¢17bought yes
11s ago27¢70bought yes
14s ago27¢3bought yes
15s ago28¢4bought yes
21s ago24¢9bought yes
24s ago29¢49bought yes
24s ago28¢9bought yes
25s ago26¢4bought yes
26s ago25¢3bought yes
27s ago25¢25bought yes
28s ago13¢2.44bought no
28s ago14¢10bought no
28s ago14¢9bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.