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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Denver wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
21.8k
22.1k lifetime
Open interest
19.3k
Spread
1¢
595 × 196 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
38%

A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
62%

costs 61¢

YES bid / ask
39¢ / 40¢
NO bid / ask
60¢ / 61¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,13447¢
  • ask4,00846¢
  • ask1,85345¢
  • ask6,00244¢
  • ask2,00143¢
  • ask2,33442¢
  • ask60041¢
  • ask19640¢
spread1¢mid 40¢
  • bid59539¢
  • bid2,10038¢
  • bid96637¢
  • bid1,60136¢
  • bid1835¢
  • bid10.0k34¢
  • bid1,76033¢
  • bid6232¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins by more than 2.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
57s ago38¢100bought no
2m ago33¢1bought no
3m ago35¢1bought no
5m ago30¢1bought no
5m ago34¢14bought yes
6m ago34¢41bought yes
9m ago40¢0.48bought no
9m ago40¢75bought no
10m ago45¢75bought no
10m ago45¢56bought no
11m ago53¢27bought yes
13m ago52¢112bought yes
13m ago52¢56bought yes
13m ago52¢185bought yes
13m ago52¢19bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.