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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Denver wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
44.9k
45.3k lifetime
Open interest
42.8k
Spread
2¢
83 × 168 at the touch
24h range
27¢ – 60¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
27%−28

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
73%

costs 70¢

YES bid / ask
30¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 70¢
24h low 27¢24h high 60¢
Recent buying54% YES · 46% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,27540¢
  • ask2,00039¢
  • ask6,00038¢
  • ask1,75737¢
  • ask3,00136¢
  • ask1,50034¢
  • ask58433¢
  • ask26232¢
spread2¢mid 31¢
  • bid19630¢
  • bid14129¢
  • bid1,58328¢
  • bid127¢
  • bid8,00226¢
  • bid3,55225¢
  • bid4,00224¢
  • bid13.0k23¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins by more than 3.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 54% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
48s ago29¢3bought no
48s ago27¢2bought no
1m ago30¢1bought no
2m ago31¢1bought no
4m ago27¢1bought no
5m ago32¢1.49bought yes
6m ago32¢2.98bought yes
9m ago43¢0.15bought no
10m ago46¢1bought no
13m ago48¢15bought no
14m ago43¢1bought yes
16m ago44¢1bought no
19m ago46¢0.89bought yes
19m ago46¢41bought yes
21m ago48¢95bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.