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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Denver wins by over 5.5 points

24h volume
10.6k
11.6k lifetime
Open interest
10.2k
Spread
8¢
204 × 173 at the touch
24h range
21¢ – 48¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%−25

A YES contract costs 30¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 30¢
NO bid / ask
70¢ / 78¢
24h low 21¢24h high 48¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,63537¢
  • ask39836¢
  • ask5,98535¢
  • ask7,50034¢
  • ask22633¢
  • ask2,10232¢
  • ask56031¢
  • ask17330¢
spread8¢mid 26¢
  • bid21422¢
  • bid59121¢
  • bid1,50020¢
  • bid0.519¢
  • bid6,02218¢
  • bid1,90917¢
  • bid5,45115¢
  • bid33.2k14¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins by more than 5.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
5.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN6
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
37s ago20¢106bought no
37s ago20¢24bought no
37s ago22¢75bought no
37s ago21¢100bought no
37s ago22¢100bought no
37s ago20¢99bought no
60s ago21¢0.5bought no
60s ago23¢0.5bought no
4m ago26¢0.5bought no
5m ago29¢0.5bought no
7m ago39¢2bought no
11m ago40¢240bought yes
11m ago36¢98bought yes
11m ago36¢80bought yes
11m ago37¢80bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.