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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Denver wins by over 6.5 points

24h volume
4,108
4,119 lifetime
Open interest
3,680
+0 over 90d
Spread
2¢
97 × 92 at the touch
24h range
20¢ – 45¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%

A YES contract costs 22¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 80¢

YES bid / ask
20¢ / 22¢
NO bid / ask
78¢ / 80¢
24h low 20¢24h high 45¢
Recent buying23% YES · 77% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,59836¢
  • ask135¢
  • ask3,65634¢
  • ask1,70133¢
  • ask6,00532¢
  • ask1,52530¢
  • ask2,07829¢
  • ask11628¢
spread4¢mid 26¢
  • bid7924¢
  • bid12923¢
  • bid1,60022¢
  • bid1,00020¢
  • bid1,50519¢
  • bid28818¢
  • bid0.517¢
  • bid2,49516¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins by more than 6.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
6.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN7
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 23% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago20¢1bought no
2m ago21¢1bought no
5m ago21¢0.5bought no
5m ago24¢0.5bought no
8m ago25¢7bought no
8m ago27¢0.5bought no
8m ago27¢0.5bought no
15m ago33¢96bought yes
15m ago33¢81bought yes
16m ago33¢1bought no
17m ago29¢0.5bought no
17m ago29¢0.5bought no
19m ago37¢26bought yes
22m ago38¢1bought no
25m ago38¢75bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.