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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Toronto wins by over 12.5 points

24h volume
2,076
2,076 lifetime
Open interest
2,013
+2,013 over 24h
Spread
1¢
194 × 94 at the touch
24h range
10¢ – 16¢
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%

A YES contract costs 19¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 19¢
NO bid / ask
81¢ / 82¢
24h low 10¢24h high 16¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volNov 4, 10:07 PMNov 5, 2:58 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,20026¢
  • ask25025¢
  • ask12.0k24¢
  • ask80023¢
  • ask4,00022¢
  • ask1,60021¢
  • ask2,20520¢
  • ask59419¢
spread2¢mid 18¢
  • bid17517¢
  • bid19316¢
  • bid2,10015¢
  • bid2,00014¢
  • bid1,50012¢
  • bid7,05011¢
  • bid1,2009¢
  • bid3,0198¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins by more than 12.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
12.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-TOR13
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7m ago14¢2bought yes
19m ago15¢2bought yes
24m ago11¢2,000bought yes
31m ago13¢50bought no
31m ago13¢0.5bought yes
33m ago11¢3.8bought yes
40m ago15¢1.8bought yes
42m ago13¢2bought no
43m ago11¢2bought no
43m ago16¢2bought yes
44m ago14¢1.45bought yes
45m ago10¢2bought yes
5h ago11¢6.69bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.