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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Toronto wins by over 14.5 points

24h volume
242
806 lifetime
Open interest
566
+566 over 24h
Spread
1¢
100 × 2,193 at the touch
24h range
9¢ – 16¢
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 93¢
24h low 9¢24h high 16¢
Recent buying92% YES · 8% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volNov 5, 2:16 AMNov 5, 3:09 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,47515¢
  • ask8,00014¢
  • ask3,50013¢
  • ask80012¢
  • ask4,50011¢
  • ask1,78310¢
  • ask8099¢
  • ask2,1938¢
spread1¢mid 7¢
  • bid1007¢
  • bid1,0536¢
  • bid2,5005¢
  • bid1,5004¢
  • bid8003¢
  • bid11.3k2¢
  • bid1,5101¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins by more than 14.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
14.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-TOR15
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6m ago10¢500bought yes
8m ago10¢64bought no
13m ago15¢1bought yes
14m ago16¢2bought yes
25m ago9¢0.9bought yes
53m ago10¢2bought no
54m ago11¢100bought yes
54m ago12¢34bought yes
54m ago10¢100bought yes
55m ago13¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.