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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Toronto wins by over 16.5 points

24h volume
391
644 lifetime
Open interest
550
+0 over 90d
Spread
1¢
100 × 3,417 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 95¢
Recent buying15% YES · 85% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask217¢
  • ask21.9k16¢
  • ask8,25012¢
  • ask3,50011¢
  • ask4,0009¢
  • ask2,2408¢
  • ask1007¢
  • ask3,4176¢
spread1¢mid 6¢
  • bid1005¢
  • bid9024¢
  • bid2,1003¢
  • bid2,0002¢
  • bid2611¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins by more than 16.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
16.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-TOR17
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 15% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago6¢100bought no
4m ago6¢100bought no
4m ago8¢53bought no
5m ago9¢1bought no
23m ago8¢100bought no
24m ago7¢1bought no
35m ago7¢1bought no
41m ago11¢90bought yes
41m ago9¢90bought no
41m ago10¢10bought no
41m ago10¢90bought no
43m ago10¢2bought yes
46m ago8¢1bought no
48m ago8¢1bought no
51m ago10¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.