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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Toronto wins by over 6.5 points

24h volume
1,177
8,557 lifetime
Open interest
7,739
+7,737 over 24h
Spread
1¢
100 × 193 at the touch
24h range
20¢ – 40¢
44 recent trades
Chance of YES
34%

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
66%

costs 67¢

YES bid / ask
33¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 67¢
24h low 20¢24h high 40¢
Recent buying19% YES · 81% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volNov 4, 3:06 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00142¢
  • ask1,50041¢
  • ask2,05540¢
  • ask6,32539¢
  • ask2,25038¢
  • ask1,15137¢
  • ask10036¢
  • ask16535¢
spread1¢mid 35¢
  • bid50034¢
  • bid1,01933¢
  • bid10032¢
  • bid13131¢
  • bid1,50530¢
  • bid6,07528¢
  • bid1,55027¢
  • bid2,25826¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins by more than 6.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
6.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-TOR7
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 44 trades, 19% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
59s ago34¢100bought yes
59s ago34¢500bought yes
59s ago34¢14bought yes
59s ago34¢18bought yes
1m ago36¢75bought no
1m ago36¢93bought no
2m ago39¢9.83bought yes
2m ago39¢1bought yes
4m ago36¢98bought no
4m ago32¢1,500bought no
4m ago34¢96bought no
4m ago31¢250bought no
4m ago33¢97bought no
4m ago33¢34bought no
4m ago33¢500bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.