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NCAAF Championship·closes in 4mo

Will Alabama win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

YES means Alabama

24h volume
18.8k
3.67M lifetime
Open interest
1.95M
−12.0k over 24h
Spread
1¢
193.7k × 310.3k at the touch
24h range
5¢ – 6¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 95¢
24h low 5¢24h high 6¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volNov 4, 2:34 AMNov 5, 2:26 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask150.0k13¢
  • ask100.0k12¢
  • ask5,16011¢
  • ask5,83610¢
  • ask34.4k9¢
  • ask13.1k8¢
  • ask258.2k7¢
  • ask310.3k6¢
spread1¢mid 6¢
  • bid193.7k5¢
  • bid119.5k4¢
  • bid238.1k3¢
  • bid8,7662¢
  • bid14.9k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Alabama wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 21 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 23, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 26, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAF-27-ALA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 135¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
30m ago6¢156bought yes
2h ago5¢312bought no
3h ago6¢782bought yes
3h ago5¢11.7kbought no
4h ago6¢9.33bought yes
4h ago6¢78bought yes
6h ago5¢23bought no
6h ago5¢21bought no
7h ago6¢312bought yes
8h ago5¢10bought no
10h ago5¢104bought no
10h ago5¢33bought no
10h ago6¢104bought yes
10h ago6¢37bought yes
13h ago5¢856bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.